Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 1.661942e-02 0.018429 0.020253 0.022225 0.024292 0.026389 0.028674
2025-06-01 1.307366e-02 0.015872 0.018816 0.022119 0.025698 0.029438 0.033622
2025-06-08 1.077551e-02 0.014061 0.017633 0.021750 0.026313 0.031173 0.036701
2025-06-15 9.259432e-03 0.012900 0.016974 0.021775 0.027194 0.033051 0.039796
2025-06-22 7.798774e-03 0.011639 0.016063 0.021392 0.027510 0.034212 0.042014
2025-06-29 6.430359e-03 0.010349 0.015008 0.020744 0.027439 0.034867 0.043602
2025-07-06 5.122390e-03 0.009004 0.013784 0.019808 0.026962 0.035000 0.044547
2025-07-13 4.577710e-03 0.008584 0.013642 0.020119 0.027898 0.036710 0.047241
2025-07-20 3.896519e-03 0.007913 0.013138 0.019952 0.028239 0.037709 0.049105
2025-07-27 3.304302e-03 0.007304 0.012669 0.019792 0.028557 0.038659 0.050892
2025-08-03 3.079442e-03 0.007204 0.012847 0.020423 0.029816 0.040694 0.053916
2025-08-10 2.573374e-03 0.006627 0.012356 0.020185 0.030001 0.041457 0.055458
2025-08-17 1.968894e-03 0.005854 0.011606 0.019654 0.029895 0.041962 0.056816
2025-08-24 1.532537e-03 0.005298 0.011131 0.019475 0.030232 0.043016 0.058848
2025-08-31 1.131292e-03 0.004715 0.010567 0.019139 0.030340 0.043770 0.060504
2025-09-07 8.734312e-04 0.004347 0.010288 0.019161 0.030884 0.045034 0.062750
2025-09-14 5.924502e-04 0.003839 0.009752 0.018803 0.030921 0.045669 0.064237
2025-09-21 3.395770e-04 0.003270 0.009064 0.018197 0.030612 0.045861 0.065179
2025-09-28 1.374854e-04 0.002651 0.008221 0.017323 0.029921 0.045558 0.065508
2025-10-05 8.550394e-05 0.002513 0.008191 0.017613 0.030754 0.047133 0.068088
2025-10-12 2.871509e-05 0.002229 0.007869 0.017457 0.030982 0.047948 0.069745
2025-10-19 2.801224e-06 0.001969 0.007562 0.017307 0.031206 0.048749 0.071380
2025-10-26 3.516349e-07 0.001963 0.007745 0.017897 0.032427 0.050802 0.074533